Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a significant underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point upward shift in the last 24 hours suggests a genuine, albeit modest, increase in conviction, rather than mere market noise. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid collective judgment, indicating a relatively confident assessment despite the long odds. For "Yes" to resolve, there would need to be an official, public declaration or presentation of irrefutable evidence of alien existence by a credible governmental or scientific body before the end of 2030.
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