Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the crowd views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, implying roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against such an announcement. The recent 6-point surge in the past 24 hours suggests a notable, albeit not seismic, shift in conviction, moving it from a longshot to a slightly less improbable outcome. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid market participation, indicating a reasonably confident collective judgment rather than a thinly traded, easily swayed figure. The lack of a specific resolution date means this market has an open timeline, allowing for continued price discovery as new information, or lack thereof, emerges.
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