Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point jump over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in collective belief, moving the needle from a longshot to a slightly less improbable outcome. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid conviction, indicating the market isn't easily swayed by minor fluctuations. The absence of a resolution date means this market has a long horizon, allowing ample time for new information to influence the price.
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