Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
This market, currently pricing a 28% chance of official alien confirmation, treats the event as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point upward shift in the last 24 hours suggests a notable, rather than negligible, change in collective sentiment. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid conviction from a well-capitalized market, indicating the current odds are not easily swayed. For a "Yes" resolution, an official confirmation of alien existence would need to occur by 2030.
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