Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
28%chance of Yes
+16%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark at 28%
On Polymarket, "Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?" is trading at 28% YES with $20,263 in volume. It's moved +16% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $20.3K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $36
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Feb 28, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
