Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
49%chance of Yes
+9%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark at 49%
On Polymarket, "Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?" is trading at 49% YES with $50,024 in volume. It's moved +9% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $50.0K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Feb 28, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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