Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The recent 6-point uptick over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in collective conviction towards a "Yes" resolution. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid participation, indicating a reasonably confident market view rather than one easily swayed by thin volume. The absence of a specific resolution date means this market has an open-ended timeline, allowing for potential future shifts in price.
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