Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
56%chance of Yes
+5%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal at 56%
On Polymarket, "Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?" is trading at 56% YES with $101,149 in volume. It's moved +5% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $101K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Jul 30, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
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