Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
The market currently prices the official confirmation of aliens by 2030 at 28%, treating it as a clear longshot with roughly 2.6-to-1 odds against it. This isn't just noise; the 6-point jump over the last 24 hours, coupled with solid trading volume of $4.2 million, suggests a real, albeit still minority, shift in collective conviction. For "Yes" to resolve, there would need to be an explicit, official statement or announcement confirming extraterrestrial life. With no specified resolution date, there's ample time for this price to fluctuate further.
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