Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
12%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026 at 12%
On Polymarket, "Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 12% YES with $836,920 in volume.
💬 Ask this market
PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $837K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $4.7K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
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