Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, this market treats official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The 6-point jump over the last 24 hours suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction, indicating some growing belief in a "Yes" outcome. With over $4 million traded, this price reflects solid collective judgment rather than thin, easily swayed sentiment. For "Yes" to resolve, a recognized official body would need to publicly confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life.
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