Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
62%chance of Yes
+3%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026 at 62%
On Polymarket, "Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 62% YES with $947 in volume. It's moved +3% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $947
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $5
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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