Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 β 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against it occurring. The recent 6-point jump suggests a notable, though not seismic, shift in conviction, indicating some new information or re-evaluation has entered the market. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid collective judgment rather than thin, easily swayed sentiment. The absence of a resolution date means this market has a long horizon for potential movement, allowing ample time for new developments to influence the price.
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