Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
44%chance of Yes
-4%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30 at 44%
On Polymarket, "Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?" is trading at 44% YES with $30,075 in volume. It's moved -4% in the last 24h.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $30.1K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $86
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jun 30, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
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