Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1 against. The recent 6-point surge over 24 hours suggests a notable, though not definitive, uptick in conviction among participants. With $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid collective judgment rather than thin noise, indicating a reasonably confident market. The absence of a specific resolution date means this market has an open-ended timeline, allowing for potential future shifts in sentiment.
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