Aliens officially confirmed by 2030 — 28% YES
At 28%, the market views official confirmation of aliens by 2030 as a clear underdog, with the crowd collectively judging it as roughly a 2.6-to-1 longshot. The recent 6-point uptick suggests a notable, albeit not seismic, shift in conviction over the past 24 hours, moving it further from deep longshot territory. With over $4.2 million traded, this price reflects solid participation, indicating a reasonably confident collective judgment rather than a thinly traded, easily swayed market. The absence of a specific resolution date means this market has an open-ended timeline, allowing for potential future shifts in price as events unfold.
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