MarketsPolitics

Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually trading, ranked by volume.

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

10%YES
+1%
Volume
$30.8K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term — Samuel Alito

67%YES
Volume
$29.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Which party will win the next UK general election — Reform party

32%YES
Volume
$22.9K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump expand high-skill immigration?

18%YES
Volume
$21.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General — Ron DeSantis

3%YES
Volume
$19.6K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term — Clarence Thomas

55%YES
Volume
$19.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm — 2

34%YES
Volume
$19.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence — Aaron Lukas

12%YES
Volume
$18.2K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm — 1

49%YES
Volume
$17.2K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada before the next general election?

16%YES
Volume
$13.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

61%YES
Volume
$12.2K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?

27%YES
Volume
$11.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will become President of the United States before 2045?

17%YES
Volume
$8.9K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump recognize Somaliland — Before Jan 20, 2029

51%YES
Volume
$8.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration — $45 trillion

84%YES
Volume
$7.4K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Which party will win the next UK general election — Labour party

36%YES
Volume
$6.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense — No other person

46%YES
Volume
$6.4K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term — 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals

75%YES
Volume
$5.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration — $50 trillion

27%YES
Volume
$5.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump make IVF free?

15%YES
Volume
$5.3K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will become President of the United States before 2045?

16%YES
Volume
$5.0K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

How many Attorneys General will Trump have — 2

51%YES
Volume
$4.9K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Which party will win the next UK general election — Conservative party

20%YES
Volume
$4.9K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Which party will win the next UK general election — Restore Britain party

5%YES
Volume
$4.7K
Source
Kalshi