MarketsPolitics

Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually trading, ranked by volume.

PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Donald J. Trump

3%YES
Volume
$71.3K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

10%YES
+1%
Volume
$67.2K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?

7%YES
-90%
Volume
$63.7K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?

7%YES
-1%
Volume
$61.6K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?

90%YES
+3%
Volume
$61.5K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Will President Trump resign before his term is up?

21%YES
Volume
$61.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Who will be Trump's next Attorney General — Lee Zeldin

5%YES
Volume
$58.3K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence — Jay Clayton

79%YES
Volume
$57.7K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Which agencies will Trump eliminate — USAID

42%YES
Volume
$54.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Pete Buttigieg

3%YES
Volume
$51.6K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Josh Shapiro

3%YES
Volume
$48.6K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

5%YES
+1%
Volume
$48.5K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act — Before 2027

18%YES
Volume
$48.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Andy Beshear

3%YES
Volume
$46.3K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?

90%YES
+3%
Volume
$45.2K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

48%YES
+5%
Volume
$42.6K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?

97%YES
+5%
Volume
$42.2K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by June 30, 2026?

2%YES
-1%
Volume
$42.1K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?

5%YES
-6%
Volume
$38.5K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

27%YES
Volume
$37.5K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act — Before May 2026

50%YES
Volume
$36.8K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Mark Kelly

2%YES
Volume
$34.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?

7%YES
+1%
Volume
$31.4K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor — Keith Sonderling

87%YES
Volume
$31.4K
Source
Kalshi