Technology Index
Odds on AI breakthroughs, AGI timelines, OpenAI and big-tech milestones, and product launches. Follow where the smart money lands on the future of technology.
43index level
-4%24h · avg YES across 14 markets
Basket volume
$5.6M
Index over time
composite levelIn the Technology basket · 14 markets
TechnologyPolymarketWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
88%YES
-1%Volume
$1.7M
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
9%YES
-2%Volume
$1.2M
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4%YES
+1%Volume
$1.0M
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
42%YES
-12%Volume
$693K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketOpenAI IPO before 2027?
47%YES
-28%Volume
$328K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
4%YES
-6%Volume
$225K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
97%YES
+1%Volume
$189K
Source
PolymarketTechnologyKalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — Anthropic
79%YES
Volume
$112K
Source
Kalshi
TechnologyPolymarketWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
22%YES
-3%Volume
$62.7K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
44%YES
+14%Volume
$55.4K
Source
Polymarket
TechnologyPolymarketWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
82%YES
+9%Volume
$46.0K
Source
PolymarketTechnologyKalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — OpenAI
23%YES
Volume
$27.9K
Source
KalshiTechnologyKalshi
Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
49%YES
Volume
$23.7K
Source
KalshiTechnologyKalshi
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
38%YES
Volume
$2.9K
Source
KalshiThe index level is the volume‑weighted average YES probability across the basket — a directional read on the theme, not a tradable price. WyldMarkets is a research tool, not financial advice.