Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — OpenAI

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — OpenAI — 30% YES

At 30%, the market views OpenAI IPOing first as a clear longshot, with implied odds of roughly 2.4-to-1 against it. The essentially flat 24-hour movement suggests no recent shift in this collective judgment. However, with only $33,850 traded, this price is tentative and could easily swing with modest new participation, indicating low conviction in the current odds. Without a specified resolution rule or timeline, the market's current assessment remains fluid.

Key facts

Total volume

$33.9K

traded all-time

Market

Kalshi

data source