Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — Anthropic

Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first — Anthropic — 72% YES

At 72%, the market strongly favors Anthropic to IPO before OpenAI, treating it as a clear favorite with implied odds of roughly 2.6-to-1. This price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, suggesting no recent shift in collective conviction. However, with just under $97,000 traded, participation is relatively thin, indicating a tentative price that could still swing significantly on modest trading volume. The lack of a specified resolution date means this market could remain active for an extended period, allowing ample time for the situation to evolve.

Key facts

Total volume

$96.6K

traded all-time

Market

Kalshi

data source