Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?
63%chance of Yes
+12%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26 at 63%
On Polymarket, "Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?" is trading at 63% YES with $35,174 in volume. It's moved +12% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $35.2K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $35.1K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jul 26, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Frequently asked
What is the "Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 63%, which makes it a favorite — the crowd prices it around 63%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.