Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026 at 49%
On Polymarket, "Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?" is trading at 49% YES with $33 in volume.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history β we don't run the market or take bets.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool β we don't accept bets or hold funds.
Right now YES is trading at 49%, which makes it close to a coin-flip at about 49%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Dec 31, 2026. The odds tend to converge toward 0% or 100% as that date approaches and the outcome becomes clear.
Per Polymarket's rules: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official clβ¦
About $33 has been traded on it (public on-chain volume). Heavier volume generally means a more confident, harder-to-move price.
No. WyldMarkets is an information and research tool. The odds show what a crowd of traders currently believes β they are not a recommendation, and nothing here is financial advice.