Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
14%chance of Yes
-1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026 at 14%
On Polymarket, "Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?" is trading at 14% YES with $189,713 in volume.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $190K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $1.6K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
