Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup — 9% YES

At 9%, the market treats Argentina winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup as a deep longshot, implying roughly 10.4-to-1 odds against it. This price, which has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, reflects a confident collective judgment given the heavy trading volume of over $30 million. With approximately six weeks remaining until resolution, there is still some time for the price to shift, though the current consensus is firm. For a "Yes" resolution, Argentina must be the national team that officially wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$86.9M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source