Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup — 16% YES

At 16%, the market treats Spain as a distinct underdog for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with implied odds of roughly 5.3-to-1 against them winning. The price has remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, indicating no significant shift in collective conviction despite the substantial trading volume of over $1.5 million in that period, which suggests a confident and well-liquidated price. With approximately six weeks remaining until resolution, there is still ample time for the odds to fluctuate, though the "Yes" outcome requires Spain to be the outright winner of the tournament.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$72.9M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source