Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?

26%chance of Yes

+3%in the last 24h

Odds over time

Yes probability, past week

Why it's moving

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026 at 26%

On Polymarket, "Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?" is trading at 26% YES with $411,730 in volume. It's moved +3% in the last 24h.

Key facts

Total volume: $0; traded all-time
24h volume: $65; last 24 hours
Resolves: Jan 1, 2027; settlement date
Market: Polymarket; data source

Resolution details

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the percentage change for BTC/USDT is higher than the percentage change for XAU/USD for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is information from TradingView, specifically the charts for BTC/USDT (https://fr.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=BINANCE%3ABTCUSDT) and XAU/USD (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD). The change value displayed at the top of the graph for the “12M” candle dated “01 Jan ’26” will be used once the data for both relevant candles are finalized. If the change is exactly equal according to the resolution source for the specified candles, this market will resolve 50-50.

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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.