Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup — 8% YES

At 8%, the market views Brazil winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup as a significant longshot, implying roughly 11.0-to-1 odds against it. This price, essentially flat over the last 24 hours, reflects a stable collective judgment, backed by substantial trading volume exceeding $30 million overall and over $1 million in the past day, indicating high conviction. With about six weeks until resolution, there's still time for the price to shift, but for a "Yes" payout, Brazil must definitively win the tournament according to FIFA rules.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$69.4M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source