Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?
72%chance of Yes
+24%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026 at 72%
On Polymarket, "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?" is trading at 72% YES with $9,950 in volume. It's moved +24% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $9.9K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $3
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Jan 1, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holdings officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 72%, which makes it a favorite — the crowd prices it around 72%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.