Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup — 5% YES

Germany is currently a deep longshot to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with the market pricing their chances at just 5%, implying the crowd sees this as very unlikely. This price has held essentially flat over the past 24 hours, indicating no recent shift in conviction, and the substantial trading volume of over $33 million suggests this low probability is a confident assessment by the market. With no resolution date provided, there's a long timeline for this market to evolve, but currently, the collective judgment is firmly against a German victory.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$80.9M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source