Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
5%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekMarket read
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026 at 5%
On Polymarket, "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?" is trading at 5% YES with $25,110 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $25.1K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
Resolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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