Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup — 3% YES

Norway winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup is priced as a deep longshot at 3%, indicating the market views this outcome as highly improbable, with implied odds of roughly 38.2-to-1 against. This price reflects strong collective conviction, given the substantial $35 million in trading volume. The odds have remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, suggesting no recent shifts in market sentiment despite the long time horizon before the event.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$83.0M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source