Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
42%chance of Yes
+1%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027 at 42%
On Polymarket, "Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?" is trading at 42% YES with $95,991 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $96.0K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $424
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 42%, which makes it close to a coin-flip at about 42%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
