Careful-Bunch

0x122c…fbedPolymarket

Portfolio value

$34.7K

Trader style

✨ AI

Careful-Bunch primarily bets on geopolitics and AI developments, with a secondary focus on sports and weather. They are a selective trader, concentrating their book on favorites while occasionally taking contrarian "NO" positions, particularly on geopolitical events.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

55 held

Open exposure

$34.7K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$556

+1.6% on cost

In profit

33 / 55

positions in the green

Markets

distinct bets open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Iran full airspace closure by June 30?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 99%$3.9K+$1 (+0%)

99%$3.9K+$1+0%YES

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 98%$3.8K−$28 (−1%)

98%$3.8K−$28−1%YES

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 86%$3.4K+$16 (+0%)

86%$3.4K+$16+0%Under

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 72%$2.9K−$12 (−0%)

72%$2.9K−$12−0%Over

France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 68%$2.7K+$60 (+2%)

68%$2.7K+$60+2%Under

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 51%$2.0K−$20 (−1%)

51%$2.0K−$20−1%YES

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Resolves Jul 10, 2026

Now 45%$1.8K−$94 (−5%)

45%$1.8K−$94−5%YES

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?

Resolves Jun 29, 2026

Now 100%$1.4K+$865 (+176%)

100%$1.4K+$865+176%YES

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 97%$1.0K+$5 (+1%)

97%$1.0K+$5+1%YES

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 60%$979−$162 (−14%)

60%$979−$162−14%YES

GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?

Resolves Jul 17, 2026

Now 80%$879+$29 (+3%)

80%$879+$29+3%YES

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 69%$874−$30 (−3%)

69%$874−$30−3%NO

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Now 53%$802−$189 (−19%)

53%$802−$189−19%NO

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?

Resolves Jul 17, 2026

Now 38%$781+$166 (+27%)

38%$781+$166+27%YES

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 23%$735−$250 (−25%)

23%$735−$250−25%

Positions 1–15 of 55, largest first

1 / 4

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

Careful-Bunch just placed $5 on Over

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

viaPolymarket4h ago

WHALE MOVE

Careful-Bunch just placed $1 on Over

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

viaPolymarket4h ago

WHALE MOVE

Careful-Bunch just placed $151 on Under

Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

viaPolymarket

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.