carlmarxpmt on twitter
This trader heavily bets on geopolitics, particularly concerning the Strait of Hormuz, and US politics. They are a selective, contrarian trader, often betting against the market with "NO" positions and concentrating their capital in a few key markets.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
cmarx just placed $151 on NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?cmarx just placed $652 on NO
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.
cmarx just placed $780 on YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?cmarx just placed $299 on YES
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?cmarx just placed $182 on NO
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?cmarx just placed $345 on YES
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?cmarx just placed $226 on YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $40 on YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?cmarx just placed $66 on YES
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 15?cmarx just placed $8 on YES
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?cmarx just placed $475 on NO
Will 225 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?cmarx just placed $47 on YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?cmarx just placed $670 on YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?cmarx just placed $77 on YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $73 on YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $76 on NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?cmarx just placed $502 on NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?cmarx just placed $640 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?cmarx just placed $278 on YES
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?cmarx just placed $213 on YES
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?cmarx just placed $149 on YES
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?cmarx just placed $2.4K on NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?cmarx just placed $19 on YES
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?cmarx just placed $65 on YES
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?cmarx just placed $360 on NO
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $1.1K on NO
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $30 on YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $100 on NO
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $584 on NO
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $59 on YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $283 on YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $81 on NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?cmarx just placed $2.8K on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?cmarx just placed $12 on YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?cmarx just placed $4 on NO
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?cmarx just placed $648 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?cmarx just placed $2.0K on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?cmarx just placed $99 on NO
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?cmarx just placed $922 on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?