betmoar-26518
Manchot primarily bets on politics, with a strong focus on international elections, and also dabbles in tech and geopolitics. They are a selective trader, concentrating their book on a few favored positions while occasionally taking contrarian stances.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 21 open positions by value.
manchot just placed $1.0K on YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's bets is risky.
manchot just placed $291 on NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?manchot just placed $279 on NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?manchot just placed $1.0K on NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?manchot just placed $65 on YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?manchot just placed $996 on NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?manchot just placed $998 on NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?manchot just placed $996 on NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?manchot just placed $1 on YES
Will Oscar Romero be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?manchot just placed $66 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?manchot just placed $356 on NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?manchot just placed $0 on YES
Will Matt Miller be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?manchot just placed $0 on YES
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?manchot just placed $2 on YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?manchot just placed $128 on NO
Epstein client list released by June 30?manchot just placed $682 on NO
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?manchot just placed $356 on YES
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?manchot just placed $9 on YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?manchot just placed $189 on YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?manchot just placed $44 on YES
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?manchot just placed $25 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?manchot just placed $16 on YES
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?manchot just placed $18 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?manchot just placed $8 on YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?manchot just placed $2 on NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?manchot just placed $174 on YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?manchot just placed $312 on YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?manchot just placed $11 on YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?manchot just placed $16 on YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?manchot just placed $256 on NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?manchot just placed $15 on YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?manchot just placed $260 on YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?