Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan β 34% YES
This market, currently pricing a US-Iran meeting in Pakistan at 34%, indicates the crowd sees it as a distinct longshot, with implied odds nearly 2-to-1 against. However, the substantial 18-point jump over the past 24 hours, backed by over $1.2 million in trading volume, suggests a significant shift in collective conviction rather than mere noise, implying new information or analysis is driving participants. While the resolution rule isn't detailed, the "yes" outcome would require the *next* diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran to specifically occur in Pakistan. Without a resolution date, there's ample time for further price movement as events unfold.
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