Alpheo primarily bets on geopolitics, specifically maritime chokepoints, exhibiting a highly concentrated and contrarian style by overwhelmingly backing "NO" on high-odds outcomes. Their recent activity shows a selective approach, accumulating positions rather than actively trading.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Alpheo just placed $2.7K on NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Alpheo just placed $3.4K on NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Alpheo just placed $581 on NO
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.
Alpheo just placed $3.0K on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Alpheo just placed $975 on YES
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?Alpheo just placed $4.1K on NO
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Alpheo just placed $862 on NO
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Alpheo just placed $5.0K on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Alpheo just placed $2.1K on NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Alpheo just placed $4.0K on NO
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Alpheo just placed $3.0K on NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Alpheo just placed $3.8K on NO
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Alpheo just placed $2.5K on NO
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?Alpheo just placed $3.7K on NO
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Alpheo just placed $1.2K on NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Alpheo just placed $1.8K on NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Alpheo just placed $25.7K on NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?