Niseko

Mushy-Buck0x801d…d8e0Polymarket

Portfolio value

$69.7K

Trader style

✨ AI

Niseko is a highly concentrated trader focused predominantly on geopolitics, specifically Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, with a secondary interest in crypto and sports. They actively back favorites, often betting "NO" on higher-probability outcomes, and are currently underwater despite frequent recent buys.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

26 held

Open exposure

$69.7K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

−$39.1K

−36.0% on cost

In profit

16 / 26

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 52%$31.6K−$17.8K (−36%)

52%$31.6K−$17.8K−36%YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 22%$5.1K−$5.0K (−49%)

22%$5.1K−$5.0K−49%NO

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 99%$4.9K+$405 (+9%)

99%$4.9K+$405+9%YES

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 23%$4.4K−$4.6K (−51%)

23%$4.4K−$4.6K−51%YES

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 62%$3.0K−$56 (−2%)

62%$3.0K−$56−2%NO

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

Resolves Oct 21, 2026

Now 97%$2.6K+$282 (+12%)

97%$2.6K+$282+12%NO

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 93%$2.6K+$435 (+20%)

93%$2.6K+$435+20%YES

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 14%$2.4K−$8.4K (−77%)

14%$2.4K−$8.4K−77%NO

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 99%$2.0K+$175 (+10%)

99%$2.0K+$175+10%YES

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 30%$1.2K−$660 (−36%)

30%$1.2K−$660−36%NO

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

Now 99%$992+$46 (+5%)

99%$992+$46+5%NO

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Resolves Jul 31, 2026

Now 99%$992+$37 (+4%)

99%$992+$37+4%NO

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?

Resolves Aug 1, 2026

Now 98%$979+$89 (+10%)

98%$979+$89+10%YES

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 11%$976−$2.0K (−67%)

11%$976−$2.0K−67%NO

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 81%$852+$53 (+7%)

81%$852+$53+7%

Positions 1–15 of 26, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

Niseko just placed $541 on NO

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?

viaPolymarket22h ago

WHALE MOVE

Niseko just placed $1.5K on YES

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?

viaPolymarket22h ago

WHALE MOVE

Niseko just placed $132 on Up

Ethereum Up or Down on July 23?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.