GaioMario

Velvety-Confirmation0x94d0…9e65Polymarket

In hoc signo vinces

Portfolio value

$26.6K

Trader style

✨ AI

GaioMario exclusively bets on geopolitics, specifically the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with a concentrated portfolio heavily invested in "NO" outcomes. This trader is selective, backing favorites with high average odds and a clear contrarian streak against Russian territorial gains.

AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.

Open positions

22 held

Open exposure

$26.6K

value at risk now

Unrealized P/L

+$3.1K

+13.3% on cost

In profit

15 / 22

positions in the green

Markets

distinct positions open

SideMarketMarket nowPositionUnrealized

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 90%$3.9K+$621 (+19%)

90%$3.9K+$621+19%NO

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 91%$3.4K+$452 (+16%)

91%$3.4K+$452+16%NO

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 98%$2.7K+$232 (+10%)

98%$2.7K+$232+10%NO

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 95%$2.4K+$140 (+6%)

95%$2.4K+$140+6%NO

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Resolves Oct 31, 2026

Now 81%$1.9K+$350 (+23%)

81%$1.9K+$350+23%NO

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 82%$1.8K+$60 (+3%)

82%$1.8K+$60+3%NO

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 89%$1.8K+$180 (+11%)

89%$1.8K+$180+11%NO

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 83%$1.3K+$252 (+25%)

83%$1.3K+$252+25%NO

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 65%$1.3K−$119 (−9%)

65%$1.3K−$119−9%NO

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 88%$1.2K+$319 (+37%)

88%$1.2K+$319+37%NO

Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 72%$1.2K+$183 (+19%)

72%$1.2K+$183+19%NO

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2025

Now 50%$1.0K+$522 (+106%)

50%$1.0K+$522+106%NO

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?

Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Now 91%$910+$120 (+15%)

91%$910+$120+15%NO

Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Now 74%$829−$42 (−5%)

74%$829−$42−5%NO

Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Now 86%$419+$31 (+8%)

86%$419+$31+8%

Positions 1–15 of 22, largest first

1 / 2

Recent trades

WHALE MOVE

GaioMario just placed $800 on NO

Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?

viaPolymarket7h ago

WHALE MOVE

GaioMario just placed $388 on NO

Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30?

viaPolymarket9h ago

WHALE MOVE

GaioMario just placed $45 on NO

Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket trader identities, positions, and trades are public, on-chain data — we surface the same information Polymarket publishes. WyldMarkets is not affiliated with this trader. This is not financial advice; copying another trader's trades is risky.