Anciano primarily bets on politics, with a strong focus on US elections and a significant contrarian streak, heavily favoring "NO" outcomes on long-shot candidates and party control. This trader is selective, concentrating a substantial portion of their book on a single position while generally backing favorites.
AI-inferred from public on-chain positions — not financial advice.
Showing the 15 largest of 50 open positions by value.
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anciano just placed $107 on NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?anciano just placed $9 on NO
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?anciano just placed $568 on NO
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?anciano just placed $360 on YES
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?anciano just placed $95 on NO
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?anciano just placed $11 on YES
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?anciano just placed $0 on YES
Will Josh Hart win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?anciano just placed $0 on YES
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?anciano just placed $110 on NO
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?anciano just placed $35 on NO
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?anciano just placed $2 on YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?anciano just placed $2 on YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?anciano just placed $0 on YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?anciano just placed $8 on NO
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?anciano just placed $13 on YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?anciano just placed $14 on NO
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?anciano just placed $115 on NO
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?anciano just placed $58 on NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?anciano just placed $95 on NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?anciano just placed $406 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?anciano just placed $30 on YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?anciano just placed $103 on YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?anciano just placed $52 on NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?anciano just placed $37 on NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?anciano just placed $41 on NO
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?anciano just placed $3 on YES
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?anciano just placed $18 on NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?anciano just placed $3 on YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?anciano just placed $288 on NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?anciano just placed $76 on NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?anciano just placed $10 on YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?anciano just placed $76 on YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?anciano just placed $6 on NO
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?anciano just placed $30 on YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?anciano just placed $21 on YES
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?