MarketsPolitics

Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually trading, ranked by volume.

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

71%YES
+11%
Volume
$181K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?

33%YES
Volume
$174K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

7%YES
-12%
Volume
$172K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?

6%YES
-0%
Volume
$154K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?

95%YES
+3%
Volume
$152K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

73%YES
+7%
Volume
$137K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) — Democratic party

57%YES
Volume
$132K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

16%YES
-2%
Volume
$131K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

98%YES
+73%
Volume
$121K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party) — Republican party

41%YES
Volume
$119K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

55%YES
+6%
Volume
$112K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Kamala Harris

5%YES
Volume
$106K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

5%YES
-1%
Volume
$104K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland — Before 2027

7%YES
Volume
$96.5K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

18%YES
Volume
$91.2K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

90%YES
-1%
Volume
$89.8K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?

41%YES
-2%
Volume
$89.6K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

91%YES
+6%
Volume
$88.2K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Ron DeSantis

4%YES
Volume
$88.1K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

24%YES
Volume
$86.1K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?

5%YES
-1%
Volume
$85.3K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsKalshi

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act — Before Jan 20, 2029

46%YES
Volume
$80.3K
Source
Kalshi
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

93%YES
+1%
Volume
$80.2K
Source
Polymarket
PoliticsPolymarket

Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

18%YES
-13%
Volume
$72.3K
Source
Polymarket