Politics Prediction Markets

Live odds on elections, presidential races, control of Congress, geopolitics, and policy decisions — aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. See what traders are actually trading, ranked by volume.

PoliticsPolymarket

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

5%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$696K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

68%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$674K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

6%YES

▼-11%

Volume

$602K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

94%YES

▼-2%

Volume

$588K

Source

Polymarket

🏛️PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — J.D. Vance

18%YES

Volume

$578K

Source

Kalshi

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

55%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$542K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

41%YES

▲+21%

Volume

$482K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

71%YES

▲+17%

Volume

$481K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

38%YES

▲+4%

Volume

$471K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

5%YES

▲+1%

Volume

$439K

Source

Polymarket

🏛️PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Gavin Newsom

12%YES

Volume

$380K

Source

Kalshi

PoliticsPolymarket

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

4%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$350K

Source

Polymarket

🏛️PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Jon Ossoff

10%YES

Volume

$338K

Source

Kalshi

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

3%YES

▼-3%

Volume

$298K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

92%YES

▲+2%

Volume

$271K

Source

Polymarket

🏛️PoliticsKalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

9%YES

Volume

$265K

Source

Kalshi

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

84%YES

▲+3%

Volume

$257K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

3%YES

▼-0%

Volume

$254K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

76%YES

▼-4%

Volume

$246K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

91%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$228K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

10%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$217K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

97%YES

▼-1%

Volume

$201K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

17%YES

▼-3%

Volume

$189K

Source

Polymarket

PoliticsPolymarket

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

15%YES

▲+2%

Volume

$185K

Source

Polymarket