Craziest Bets
The wildest prediction markets people are actually betting on.
Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2%YES
+0%$48.8M Vol.Polymarket
Politics
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1%YES
-2%$39.6M Vol.Polymarket
Markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
1%YES
-1%$15.4M Vol.Polymarket
Finance
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0%YES
$14.8M Vol.Polymarket
Finance
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0%YES
-0%$14.7M Vol.Polymarket
Markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7%YES
-7%$12.6M Vol.Polymarket
Finance
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1%YES
-0%$11.3M Vol.Polymarket
Finance
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
0%YES
$10.0M Vol.Polymarket
Markets
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1%YES
$9.8M Vol.Polymarket
Politics
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0%YES
$7.2M Vol.Polymarket
Markets
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
3%YES
+1%$5.6M Vol.Polymarket
Politics
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3%YES
-2%$4.7M Vol.Polymarket
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