Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
6%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31 at 6%
On Polymarket, "Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?" is trading at 6% YES with $30,929 in volume.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $30.9K
- traded all-time
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked
What is the "Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 6%, which makes it a long shot — the crowd gives it only about a 6% chance. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
