Trump out as President before 2027?
8%chance of Yes
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
✨ AIUpdated 44d agoTrump out as President before 2027 — 11% YES
At 11%, the market treats "Trump out as President before 2027?" as a distinct longshot, implying roughly 8.5-to-1 odds against such an event. The price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, suggesting no significant shift in collective conviction despite the substantial overall trading volume of nearly $9 million. With the market resolving in approximately seven months, there is still ample time for events to influence this price, though the current heavy participation indicates a relatively confident consensus on the low probability. For a "Yes" resolution, Donald Trump would need to resign, be removed, or otherwise cease to be President for any period before the end of 2026.
AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $10.2M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $5.4K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
