Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election — 85% YES

At 85%, the market views Abelardo de la Espriella as a strong favorite, implying roughly 5.5-to-1 odds in his favor for the 2026 Colombian presidential election. This price has remained essentially flat over the past 24 hours, suggesting little to no recent shift in collective conviction. With over $3.2 million traded, participation is solid, indicating a reasonably confident and well-supported price, though the lack of a resolution date means this long-term outlook could still evolve significantly.

AI-generated from automated web search — may be inaccurate or out of date. Verify anything important with the linked sources. Not financial advice.

Key facts

Total volume

$6.9M

traded all-time

Market

Polymarket

data source