Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
0%chance of Yes
-0%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probability, past weekWhy it's moving
✨ AIWill Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026 — 0% YES
The market currently treats Alex Padilla as a deep longshot for the 2026 California gubernatorial election, with a 0% price implying odds of approximately 99.0-to-1 against. This price has remained essentially flat over the last 24 hours, indicating no significant shift in collective conviction despite solid overall participation of over $1.3 million traded. With resolution still roughly five months away, there is ample time for this price to change, though for a "Yes" resolution, Padilla must definitively win the 2026 election, as confirmed by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
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PRO+Key facts
- Total volume
- $1.6M
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $249K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Nov 3, 2026
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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Odds and volume are sourced live from Polymarket and refresh continuously. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
