Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028 at 28%
On Polymarket, "Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?" is trading at 28% YES with $1,838 in volume. It's moved +3% in the last 24h.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market. The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith. An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market. If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history β we don't run the market or take bets.
Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool β we don't accept bets or hold funds.
Right now YES is trading at 28%, which makes it an underdog β the crowd puts the odds around 28%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Dec 31, 2028. The odds tend to converge toward 0% or 100% as that date approaches and the outcome becomes clear.
Per Polymarket's rules: This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed aβ¦
About $1.8K has been traded on it (public on-chain volume). Heavier volume generally means a more confident, harder-to-move price.
No. WyldMarkets is an information and research tool. The odds show what a crowd of traders currently believes β they are not a recommendation, and nothing here is financial advice.