Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
89%chance of Yes
+2%in the last 24h
Odds over time
Yes probabilityMarket read
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first at 89%
On Polymarket, "Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?" is trading at 89% YES with $238,366 in volume. It's moved +2% in the last 24h.
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PRO+live web search + market dataKey facts
- Total volume
- $238K
- traded all-time
- 24h volume
- $2.3K
- last 24 hours
- Resolves
- Dec 31, 2027
- settlement date
- Market
- Polymarket
- data source
🐋 Smart money on this market
recent notable tradesResolution details
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked
What is the "Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?" market?
It's a prediction market on Polymarket tracking the question "Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?". WyldMarkets aggregates its odds, volume, and history — we don't run the market or take bets.
What are the current odds?
Right now YES is trading at 89%, which makes it a favorite — the crowd prices it around 89%. That figure is the market's implied probability, not a guarantee, and it moves as people trade.
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Odds and volume are sourced from Polymarket and updated regularly; figures shown may lag the live market. WyldMarkets is a discovery and research tool — we don't accept bets or hold funds.
